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Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.Ministry of National Defense: Fujian Ship will gradually launch the follow-up test project. On the morning of December 13th, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, released a message on the recent military-related issues. Reporter: According to the announcement of Shanghai Maritime Safety Administration, in early December, traffic control was implemented for the import of a large ship in the deep water channel of the Yangtze River estuary. Some analysts believe that China Navy Fujian Ship may have completed its fifth sea trial and returned to its home port. Can you confirm it? Wu Qian: It is a normal arrangement for Fujian Ship to carry out relevant tests during the construction process. In the next step, follow-up test projects will be gradually launched according to the progress of aircraft carrier construction. (issued by the Ministry of National Defense)Guotai Junan: The rise of leading enterprises and the downward shift of costs are important features of the steel industry entering a new cycle. Guotai Junan issued a document saying that with the change of demand structure, the demand for plates has steadily increased, and the demand for high-end plates such as automobiles, household appliances, shipbuilding, offshore engineering and energy is strong. The added value and profit per ton of products brought by leading companies' active adjustment of product structure, accumulation of products, R&D drive, continuous capital expenditure and equipment investment have been significantly improved, gradually widening the gap with the industry average gross profit. When the industry is facing the marginal losses of most steel enterprises, leading companies still maintain a high profit level by relying on the cost advantages brought by product differences and management, and the rise and differentiation of industry leaders are emerging. On the other hand, with the gradual increase in the supply side and the difficulty in improving the demand side, iron ore has gradually entered a loose cycle, and the steel cost constraints are expected to gradually improve.

Goldman Sachs expects the average price of iron ore to be 95 USD/ton in 2025 and 90 USD/ton in 2026.Cathay Pacific: The number of the group has exceeded 30,000, and there will be more than 100 passenger destinations next year. On December 13, Cathay Pacific said that it had the largest recruitment in history in 2024, with about 7,000 new employees hired throughout the year, and the total number of employees in the group exceeded 30,000. With the total flight volume of Cathay Pacific and Hong Kong Express returning to the pre-epidemic level in January next year, Cathay Pacific announced that the two-year reconstruction trip will be completed soon, and there will be more than 100 passenger destinations next year. (Hong Kong Economic Times)The leading enterprises in the quantum science and technology sector are competing for layout. Recently, the quantum science and technology sector has been active. Since September 24, the concept index of the straight flush quantum science and technology has risen by more than 60%, and the stock prices of many stocks have doubled. Among A-share listed companies, many companies including China Mobile, China Telecom, Guo Dun Quantum, Hexin Instrument, Guoxin Technology and Geer Software have already laid out in the field of quantum technology. In terms of future market potential, ICVTA&K, a scientific and technological consulting organization, predicts that in 2023, the overall market size of the global quantum industry may reach 7.24 billion US dollars. However, the current quantum technology industry is still in the stage of research and development and industrial exploration. Taking quantum computing as an example, Guo Dun Quantum said in a survey conducted by an organization on November 15th that quantum computers have only achieved quantum superiority in some specific problems at present, and it is estimated that it will take about 5 to 10 years to surpass classical computing power in practical and valuable problems in the future. (Economic Information Daily)

The fifth district of Beijing issued a blue warning of strong winds. At present, Yanqing District, Mentougou District, Haidian District, Changping District and Fangshan District of Beijing have issued blue warnings of strong winds.Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.CITIC Securities: Short-term white horse style may be dominated by stages due to compensatory growth and repair. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that looking forward to 2025, we expect that the market style will gradually switch from individual investors to institutional investors, and ETF will become an important configuration tool. We believe that the construction of ETF portfolio should mainly depend on the judgment of style rotation and timing. We believe that in the short term, Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party and the Central Economic Work Conference will once again confirm the policy inflection point, which is expected to boost institutional investors' risk appetite, and the white horse style may prevail in stages due to compensatory growth and repair. However, in the large-cycle environment, it is still unable to meet the conditions for the continued dominance of white horse stocks, and it is necessary to continue to observe the price signals and policies.